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Visa overstay crisis: Canada’s population growth significantly underestimated by official statistics

Experts warn that national population growth could be three times higher than official projections due to undocumented residents who overstay their visas. Despite having advanced exit control technology for over six years, authorities continue to struggle with accurately tracking departures. Economists estimate that up to one million expired visa holders remain in the country, with Statistics Canada projecting just 0.3% population growth, while actual figures could reach 1.1% in 2025. This discrepancy can severely impact infrastructure planning, housing development, and public service delivery, potentially threatening the accuracy of economic forecasting and national security

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